Models have it peaking off Cape Point on Wednesday evening at 11. 7 meters at 17 seconds. “The initial cyclogenesis saw it deepen to 985 mb as it barreled across the Atlantic toward Cape Town,” explains Spike. “The storm maintained this pressure and has not downgraded like other storms we’ve had in this drought cycle, which have been pushed south by a stronger-than-forecasted South Atlantic High.
That’s all about to change. “We’ve been saying winter is coming for so long now, the words have rearranged themselves into a question,” says Steve “Spike” Pike, local forecasting guru and founder of “But the behemoth about to hit us looks set to rival the mega storms of 1984 and 2001 in Cape Town, with a real chance of severe storm tides and 60-foot swells.
The window period ends on Saturday, June 10th. “This storm is super-intense, and it’s growing as it approaches,” he says. “The swell direction on Thursday is very west, which usually doesn’t get in, but this will get in purely on size. It’s going to be huge.
Most surfers have their eyes further up the coast towards J-Bay in the east, and even further up west. “I’ve had about a hundred guys from around the world call me, asking what Skeleton Bay is going to be like,” laughs photographer Alan van Gysen. “This is about as big a swell as I’ve ever seen forecast here, but I’m not sure about the direction.
The deepwater reefs like Sunset and Dungeons have been firing on all cylinders with ample swell and unseasonably calm winds, while the stretch of coastline to the east and west of Cape Town has been basking in sunshine and waves.
The high pressure usually pushes the storms further south, but in this case, says Spike, high-pressure cells all around the storm are keeping it fed and bloated. “There’s one piece of High sinking into a bizarre band 1,700 nautical miles long and extending 65 degrees south, not far from the Antarctic ice shelf,” he says. “This storm tracks right over the top of that southern High, and because of this, the charts are holding steady.
Read more here: Surfer Mag